Пересказ: Гленн Гринвальд — война с Ираном идёт не так, как нам говорят
Источник: https://x.com/imelizabethlane/status/2035987064668237874
Элизабет Лейн цитирует анализ Гленна Гринвальда: через 3,5 недели после начала войны с Ираном реальное положение дел разительно расходится с официальными заявлениями.
Иран не близок к поражению
Прошло более трёх недель с начала войны. США ставили срок в 3–4 недели «до победы». Но:
- Безусловная капитуляция (требование Трампа) — абсолютно нереалистична
- Иранские официальные лица и источники, близкие к правительству, считают себя победителями
- Никаких признаков иранской капитуляции нет
Синдром «мы всегда побеждаем»
Американцев воспитывают в убеждении, что США никогда не проигрывают войны. Инакомыслие приравнивается к предательству. Но факты иные:
- Вьетнам: Пентагон знал, что победить невозможно, но продолжал войну. Правда вышла через «Документы Пентагона» Элсберга
- Ирак: Тони Блэр признал — не только не было оружия массового уничтожения, но и возникновение ИГИЛ — прямое следствие американского вторжения
Параллели с настоящим
Сейчас американцев снова уверяют, что они «на пороге победы». Но никто не объяснил, как именно США выигрывают эту войну. Гринвальд и Гринвальд обращают внимание: Дэниел Эллсберг почти попал в тюрьму на всю жизнь за раскрытие правды — и сейчас аналогичное происходит с Джо Кентом, которого «пытаются посадить» за несогласие с иранской политикой.
Вывод
«Мы очень далеки от безоговорочной капитуляции, и если только не произойдёт что-то немыслимое — мы и близко к ней не подойдём». История повторяется: Вьетнам, Ирак, теперь Иран.
🧾 Транскрипт (формат)
three and a half weeks into this war a little bit over three weeks when it began we were told likely three weeks four weeks something like that in order for it to be concluded maybe a little longer there's no possibility that we are close to the end of this war if we're to do anything other than obviously suffer a serious loss because none of the real aims of the war regime change all the stuff about saving the Iranian protesters and liberating the Iranian people to say nothing of the demand that President Trump very melodramatically and flamboyantly insisted would be the only one he would accept to end the war which is unconditional surrender to say that we're very very far from unconditional surrender on the part of the Iranians absent some unthinkable event where the United States and Israel just go completely berserk in ways that alter humanity and world history forever absent that we are obviously nowhere near close to anything like unconditional surrender in fact we're not really close to anything close to Iranian surrender at all quite the contrary the Iranians absolutely do believe they're winning and if you talk to Iranian sources people who are close to the government to officials in Iran they will tell you that not just stating it publicly but they will tell you that they are very happy with the war's progress and we're trained in the United States to believe that we win every war that we're always winning every war and it's not just that we're accustomed to believing that it's that it's very important for us to believe that if you say to an American during a war especially at the beginning of war look we're not really winning this war they few things will provoke as much fury and and rage at you for saying that for suggesting that people feel like it's some kind of betrayal or even like almost treason like you're rooting for the other side if you're pointing out that the American war plans are not going as a lot of people were led to believe that they would and is a very important patriotic nationalistic tribalistic need to believe that we win wars in fact when I was a kid I was taught that every war that the United States has fought the United States has won the United States never lost a war and then I came to understand what happened in Vietnam among other things and realize just how false that was the United States absolutely lost the war in Vietnam we're telling the American people oh we're on the verge of winning we just need another six months but internally the Pentagon knew that there was no possibility they could win the war in Vietnam no matter how much indiscriminate force they used no matter how many civilians they slaughtered that the best they could hope for was a standstill and that's why Ellsberg came forward and came very close to going to prison he would have gone to prison for life the way they're trying to do with Joe Kent now for him having revealed the truth about the war that Iran was posing no imminent threat because the American government was telling the American people the whole time that we were winning the war now I will remind you that the same exact thing happened in Iraq I don't think anybody thinks United States won the war in Iraq even Tony Blair one of the most important architects of that war one of the probably the single most important salesman of the war internationally admitted afterward that not only were there no mass weapons of mass destruction but that the reason there was an ISIS is because of the power vacuum the United States created in the middle of the Middle East and